Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.004367 0.004596 0.004831 0.005092 0.005373 0.005666 0.005997
2025-09-14 0.003916 0.004248 0.004605 0.005017 0.005482 0.005994 0.006601
2025-09-21 0.003677 0.004071 0.004506 0.005025 0.005630 0.006320 0.007172
2025-09-28 0.003396 0.003816 0.004289 0.004866 0.005556 0.006364 0.007394
2025-10-05 0.003250 0.003701 0.004218 0.004862 0.005652 0.006601 0.007845
2025-10-12 0.003172 0.003657 0.004224 0.004944 0.005847 0.006959 0.008460
2025-10-19 0.003044 0.003545 0.004139 0.004905 0.005885 0.007117 0.008823
2025-10-26 0.002936 0.003450 0.004068 0.004877 0.005930 0.007281 0.009196
2025-11-02 0.002834 0.003358 0.003995 0.004841 0.005960 0.007421 0.009539
2025-11-09 0.002795 0.003341 0.004014 0.004921 0.006142 0.007771 0.010191
2025-11-16 0.002715 0.003270 0.003960 0.004902 0.006188 0.007935 0.010584
2025-11-23 0.002638 0.003198 0.003901 0.004873 0.006218 0.008073 0.010946
2025-11-30 0.002550 0.003109 0.003819 0.004810 0.006199 0.008144 0.011214
2025-12-07 0.002465 0.003022 0.003736 0.004742 0.006168 0.008196 0.011455
2025-12-14 0.002414 0.002979 0.003709 0.004749 0.006244 0.008405 0.011951
2025-12-21 0.002309 0.002859 0.003575 0.004602 0.006090 0.008262 0.011875
2025-12-28 0.002262 0.002817 0.003545 0.004599 0.006145 0.008436 0.012323
2026-01-04 0.002247 0.002816 0.003570 0.004674 0.006318 0.008799 0.013107
2026-01-11 0.002193 0.002762 0.003519 0.004639 0.006323 0.008897 0.013447
2026-01-18 0.002146 0.002714 0.003477 0.004613 0.006340 0.009015 0.013829
2026-01-25 0.002098 0.002665 0.003430 0.004579 0.006344 0.009111 0.014174
2026-02-01 0.002088 0.002667 0.003456 0.004654 0.006517 0.009490 0.015062
2026-02-08 0.002048 0.002628 0.003422 0.004636 0.006544 0.009627 0.015510